Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Geekie 48.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 83.5%
Neutral zone
Geekie 66.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Malkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
6
(21 meetings)
15
6
Malkin
Geekie
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
3
Malkin
Geekie
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
2
Malkin
Geekie
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
1
Malkin
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
48.8% (2,307)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
45.7% (188)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
45.7% (129)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Malkin
Geekie
Home
47.6% (5,395)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Malkin
Geekie
P1
45.9%
48.6%
P2
46.2%
48.8%
P3
45.2%
47.7%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |