Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.5%). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Geekie 47.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.0%
Defensive zone
Geekie 52.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Malkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Malkin
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
45.7% (352)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
63.2% (19)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Malkin
Geekie
Home
47.5% (326)
48.5% (165)
Away
44.0% (307)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Malkin
Geekie
P1
49.3%
48.5%
P2
44.7%
45.1%
P3
42.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |