Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 78.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Malkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
48.9% (280)
-3.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (6)
-15.4%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bjugstad
Home
50.4% (113)
48.4% (190)
Away
39.4% (132)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Malkin
Bjugstad
P1
47.7%
41.7%
P2
44.9%
56.6%
P3
40.0%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |