Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Malkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
50.7% (906)
-2.8%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
48.1% (108)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (239)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (405)
49.8% (643)
Away
47.5% (396)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Malkin
Bjugstad
P1
49.6%
49.4%
P2
47.2%
50.5%
P3
48.5%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |