Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Malkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Malkin
Bjugstad
Last 9: Malkin 4-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Malkin
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Malkin
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
49.4% (867)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
56.0% (25)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.7% (216)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bjugstad
Home
52.3% (438)
46.5% (480)
Away
46.2% (418)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Malkin
Bjugstad
P1
51.3%
48.7%
P2
50.8%
45.6%
P3
45.0%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |