Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 64.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Malkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Bjugstad
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Malkin
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Malkin
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
46.7% (398)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
51.6% (31)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
62.5% (8)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bjugstad
Home
47.5% (326)
47.3% (220)
Away
44.0% (307)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Malkin
Bjugstad
P1
49.3%
46.1%
P2
44.7%
46.3%
P3
42.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |