Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 51.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 61.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Malkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Malkin
Bjugstad
Last 9: Malkin 6-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
48.3% (937)
-0.1%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
56.1% (148)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
34.2% (38)
+65.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malkin is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Malkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bjugstad
Home
53.4% (305)
50.5% (574)
Away
44.3% (316)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Malkin
Bjugstad
P1
45.6%
52.4%
P2
46.6%
46.8%
P3
54.7%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
78.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |