Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Foligno 52.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 80.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Malkin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
52.0% (50)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
66.7% (21)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Malkin
Foligno
Home
52.3% (438)
51.2% (41)
Away
46.2% (418)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Malkin
Foligno
P1
51.3%
55.6%
P2
50.8%
48.0%
P3
45.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |