Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 55.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 58.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Malkin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Malkin
Foligno
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Malkin
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
5
Malkin
Foligno
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
7
Malkin
Foligno
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
48.3% (2,810)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
52.3% (730)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.0% (455)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Malkin
Foligno
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Malkin
Foligno
P1
45.9%
47.6%
P2
46.2%
50.4%
P3
45.2%
48.3%
OT
49.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2017 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 21, 2017 | OT | 03:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |