Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Foligno 52.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 64.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 66.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Malkin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
53.4% (249)
-5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
53.2% (154)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.6% (32)
+59.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Malkin
Foligno
Home
49.6% (405)
57.3% (225)
Away
47.5% (396)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Malkin
Foligno
P1
49.6%
53.0%
P2
47.2%
51.8%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |