Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Cates 40.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 94.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 50.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Malkin
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Malkin
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
40.4% (841)
+8.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
42.4% (66)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
32.7% (147)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Malkin
Cates
Home
52.3% (438)
38.2% (566)
Away
46.2% (418)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Malkin
Cates
P1
51.3%
40.5%
P2
50.8%
42.4%
P3
45.0%
35.3%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |