Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Kelly 49.5% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Malkin
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
50.0% (6)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Kelly is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kelly
Home
52.3% (438)
60.0% (5)
Away
46.2% (418)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Malkin
Kelly
P1
51.3%
33.3%
P2
50.8%
40.0%
P3
45.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
45.5%