Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Zacha 46.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 57.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Malkin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Malkin
Zacha
Last 8: Malkin 4-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Malkin
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
2
Malkin
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
45.3% (247)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
58.1% (31)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
22.2% (18)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zacha
Home
52.3% (438)
39.7% (131)
Away
46.2% (418)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Malkin
Zacha
P1
51.3%
42.9%
P2
50.8%
46.4%
P3
45.0%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |