Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Zacha 49.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 28-24 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Malkin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
28
(52 meetings)
24
28
Malkin
Zacha
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
8
6
Malkin
Zacha
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
13
Malkin
Zacha
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
12
9
Malkin
Zacha
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
48.9% (5,102)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
55.6% (804)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
42.2% (555)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zacha
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Malkin
Zacha
P1
45.9%
49.9%
P2
46.2%
49.2%
P3
45.2%
48.1%
OT
49.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |