Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Zacha 54.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 64.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 68.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Malkin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malkin
Zacha
Last 7: Malkin 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Malkin
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Malkin
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
53.9% (787)
-6.0%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
63.2% (193)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.3% (88)
+55.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zacha
Home
49.6% (405)
56.7% (538)
Away
47.5% (396)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Malkin
Zacha
P1
49.6%
52.6%
P2
47.2%
54.8%
P3
48.5%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |