Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Johansen 51.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 87.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 81.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Malkin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Malkin
Johansen
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Malkin
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
6
Malkin
Johansen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Malkin
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
51.6% (1,127)
-8.5%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
53.6% (267)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
51.6% (244)
-34.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Malkin shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johansen
Home
42.6% (338)
55.0% (809)
Away
42.7% (417)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Malkin
Johansen
P1
40.9%
50.7%
P2
45.3%
54.4%
P3
42.0%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |