Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 39 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 55-40 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 76.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 76.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Malkin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
55
(95 meetings)
40
55
Malkin
Johansen
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
13
6
Malkin
Johansen
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
12
27
Malkin
Johansen
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
15
22
Malkin
Johansen
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.5%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
56.2% (2,163)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
50.5% (978)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johansen
Home
47.6% (5,395)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Malkin
Johansen
P1
45.9%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
45.2%
52.8%
OT
49.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |