Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Johansen 52.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 56.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Malkin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Malkin
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Malkin
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
49.4% (1,010)
-5.4%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
62.3% (236)
-32.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johansen
Home
45.5% (202)
54.7% (655)
Away
41.4% (174)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Malkin
Johansen
P1
48.4%
52.2%
P2
41.7%
50.7%
P3
40.4%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |