Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Johansen 52.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 53.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 88.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Malkin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
Johansen
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
51.9% (597)
-4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
57.9% (133)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
54.3% (81)
+45.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johansen
Home
49.6% (405)
55.8% (387)
Away
47.5% (396)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Malkin
Johansen
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
47.2%
56.2%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |