Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 68.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 70.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Malkin
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Malkin
Couturier
Last 8: Malkin 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Malkin
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
Malkin
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
53.8% (1,003)
-5.9%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
56.4% (202)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.7% (89)
+57.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Malkin
Couturier
Home
49.6% (405)
54.4% (680)
Away
47.5% (396)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Malkin
Couturier
P1
49.6%
56.3%
P2
47.2%
51.8%
P3
48.5%
52.2%
OT
100.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 01:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |