Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Couturier 53.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 64.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 89.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 64.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Malkin
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Malkin
Couturier
Last 7: Malkin 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Malkin
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
53.4% (758)
-7.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
62.9% (70)
-28.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Malkin
Couturier
Home
50.4% (113)
50.7% (517)
Away
39.4% (132)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Malkin
Couturier
P1
47.7%
55.2%
P2
44.9%
53.0%
P3
40.0%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
35.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |