Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Couturier 55.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 67.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Malkin
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malkin
Couturier
Last 7: Malkin 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Malkin
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Malkin
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
55.1% (1,008)
-9.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
64.1% (142)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.3% (45)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Malkin
Couturier
Home
47.5% (326)
58.1% (609)
Away
44.0% (307)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Malkin
Couturier
P1
49.3%
55.3%
P2
44.7%
55.8%
P3
42.3%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |