Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Novak 44.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 57.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Malkin
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
41.7% (206)
+3.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.6% (19)
+47.4%
On power play, Malkin has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malkin is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Malkin shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Malkin
Novak
Home
51.5% (103)
44.9% (118)
Away
39.4% (109)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Malkin
Novak
P1
47.9%
41.5%
P2
47.7%
44.0%
P3
40.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%