Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Novak 43.4% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 55.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Malkin
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
41.4% (379)
+4.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
46.9% (32)
-12.3%
On power play, Novak has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Malkin
Novak
Home
50.4% (113)
42.6% (195)
Away
39.4% (132)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Malkin
Novak
P1
47.7%
42.4%
P2
44.9%
39.2%
P3
40.0%
44.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%