Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 55.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 90.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 86.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Malkin
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
Seguin
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
0
Malkin
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Malkin
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
56.9% (478)
-9.0%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
57.4% (54)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.3% (76)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Malkin
Seguin
Home
49.6% (405)
57.4% (317)
Away
47.5% (396)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Malkin
Seguin
P1
49.6%
50.3%
P2
47.2%
60.4%
P3
48.5%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |