Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 64.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Malkin
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
18
(34 meetings)
16
18
Malkin
Seguin
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
9
3
Malkin
Seguin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
8
Malkin
Seguin
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
7
Malkin
Seguin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
53.7% (8,071)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
55.9% (810)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
49.3% (762)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Malkin
Seguin
Home
47.6% (5,395)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Malkin
Seguin
P1
45.9%
52.8%
P2
46.2%
53.3%
P3
45.2%
54.7%
OT
49.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |