Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Seguin 51.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 75.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 68.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Malkin
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
54.8% (135)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
58.3% (24)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
26.7% (15)
+73.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +73.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Malkin
Seguin
Home
47.5% (326)
47.4% (95)
Away
44.0% (307)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Malkin
Seguin
P1
49.3%
50.8%
P2
44.7%
57.1%
P3
42.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |