Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Gourde 52.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 62.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 66.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Malkin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Gourde
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Malkin
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Malkin
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
54.7% (243)
-8.5%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
50.0% (24)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
37.5% (16)
-4.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Malkin shoots left. Gourde is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Malkin
Gourde
Home
45.1% (450)
54.1% (133)
Away
46.4% (384)
52.7% (150)
By Period
Malkin
Gourde
P1
48.2%
54.5%
P2
43.5%
52.6%
P3
46.0%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |