Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.7%). Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Malkin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Gourde
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Malkin
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
49.1% (847)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
79.5% (44)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.5% (81)
+10.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Malkin
Gourde
Home
52.3% (438)
50.1% (491)
Away
46.2% (418)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Malkin
Gourde
P1
51.3%
54.7%
P2
50.8%
45.0%
P3
45.0%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |