Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 47.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Gourde 48.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 76.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Malkin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Malkin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Malkin
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
48.0% (914)
-0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
54.2% (48)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.9% (123)
+56.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Malkin
Gourde
Home
49.6% (405)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.5% (396)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Malkin
Gourde
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
47.2%
45.3%
P3
48.5%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |