Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 56.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 78.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 68.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Malkin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
49.1% (731)
-5.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
54.3% (81)
-24.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Malkin
Gourde
Home
45.5% (202)
50.9% (479)
Away
41.4% (174)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Malkin
Gourde
P1
48.4%
51.2%
P2
41.7%
49.8%
P3
40.4%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.6%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |