Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.7%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Carter 48.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 68.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 68.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 65.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 9: Kuznetsov 1-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Kuznetsov
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kuznetsov
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
48.5% (977)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
57.8% (128)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
40.7% (123)
-0.7%
On power play, Carter has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
49.8% (592)
50.8% (597)
Away
45.5% (545)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
49.0%
48.8%
P2
49.3%
48.0%
P3
45.3%
49.4%
OT
40.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |