Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Jeff Carter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Carter 53.2% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 53-21 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 89.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 95.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 94.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
53
(74 meetings)
21
53
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 10: Kuznetsov 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
11
15
Kuznetsov
Carter
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
21
Kuznetsov
Carter
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
17
Kuznetsov
Carter
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
53.3% (8,728)
-9.4%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
57.3% (1,554)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
46.3% (1,087)
-8.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
44.8% (4,622)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
43.6%
53.6%
P2
45.8%
52.8%
P3
42.8%
53.1%
OT
43.2%
56.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |