Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Carter 60.1% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 78.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 59.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuznetsov
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kuznetsov
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
65.6% (262)
-21.2%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
68.3% (63)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
50.5% (99)
-14.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
48.6% (370)
64.3% (207)
Away
41.4% (377)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
44.3%
65.3%
P2
49.6%
60.1%
P3
41.4%
63.8%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |