Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 82.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.5%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 67.0%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 10: Kuznetsov 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
1
Kuznetsov
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
5
Kuznetsov
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Kuznetsov
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
57.9% (885)
-14.6%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
61.7% (133)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
45.4% (119)
-4.6%
On power play, Carter has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
43.9% (602)
58.2% (543)
Away
43.1% (564)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
43.2%
57.5%
P2
41.5%
57.1%
P3
45.2%
55.8%
OT
55.6%
68.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |