Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.7% vs Carter 54.6% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 81.7%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 89.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 84.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 7: Kuznetsov 1-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Kuznetsov
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (980)
53.1% (307)
-8.7%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
62.5% (64)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
70.4% (27)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
46.4% (491)
58.9% (285)
Away
42.1% (527)
47.8% (113)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
44.8%
54.9%
P2
44.6%
57.5%
P3
44.0%
56.0%
OT
23.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |