Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 39.7% vs Carter 51.2% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 75.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 78.0%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 5: Kuznetsov 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (960)
49.9% (935)
-10.9%
Power Play
37.8% (45)
61.8% (157)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
46.7% (92)
-18.9%
On power play, Carter has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
40.3% (533)
52.4% (638)
Away
36.9% (490)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
37.8%
49.6%
P2
41.5%
50.9%
P3
36.4%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
31.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
38.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |