Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 42.8% vs Carter 49.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 83.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 63.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 10: Kuznetsov 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
5
Kuznetsov
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (471)
49.6% (242)
-8.2%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
59.1% (22)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.0% (50)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
43.0% (223)
48.6% (173)
Away
40.0% (270)
48.9% (141)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
37.3%
52.1%
P2
40.2%
47.8%
P3
48.9%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
41.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |