Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 43 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 63-42 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 87.8%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 93.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Kuznetsov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
63
(105 meetings)
42
63
Kuznetsov
Staal
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
16
12
Kuznetsov
Staal
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
35
Kuznetsov
Staal
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
18
16
Kuznetsov
Staal
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
55.9% (14,620)
-12.0%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
62.7% (1,745)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
48.0% (2,896)
-9.8%
On power play, Staal has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Staal
Home
44.8% (4,622)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Staal
P1
43.6%
55.2%
P2
45.8%
55.9%
P3
42.8%
54.9%
OT
43.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 17, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |