Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Staal 56.8% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-4 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 94.2%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 85.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 92.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Kuznetsov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
17
(21 meetings)
4
17
Kuznetsov
Staal
Last 10: Kuznetsov 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Kuznetsov
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
10
Kuznetsov
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Kuznetsov
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
58.9% (1,041)
-15.6%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
53.4% (73)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
49.1% (171)
-8.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Staal
Home
43.9% (602)
59.0% (578)
Away
43.1% (564)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Staal
P1
43.2%
57.1%
P2
41.5%
60.9%
P3
45.2%
55.8%
OT
55.6%
20.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |