Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Staal 57.6% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 51.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Kuznetsov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kuznetsov
Staal
Last 7: Kuznetsov 4-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
58.9% (1,096)
-14.5%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
68.4% (57)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
51.8% (222)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Staal
Home
48.6% (370)
57.0% (646)
Away
41.4% (377)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Staal
P1
44.3%
55.9%
P2
49.6%
55.4%
P3
41.4%
62.0%
OT
42.9%
70.4%
Final 5 min
41.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 17, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |