Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 56.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Kuznetsov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
12
(26 meetings)
14
12
Kuznetsov
Staal
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
6
3
Kuznetsov
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
6
Kuznetsov
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
6
3
Kuznetsov
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
56.3% (1,115)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
61.2% (67)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
52.1% (292)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Staal
Home
45.9% (534)
58.3% (705)
Away
49.2% (535)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Staal
P1
44.8%
54.5%
P2
52.1%
58.2%
P3
44.5%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |