Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.7% vs Staal 56.1% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 79.5%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 81.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Kuznetsov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kuznetsov
Staal
Last 9: Kuznetsov 2-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Kuznetsov
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Kuznetsov
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (980)
55.9% (1,016)
-11.5%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
68.0% (150)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.6% (172)
-7.7%
On power play, Staal has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kuznetsov is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (673).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Staal
Home
46.4% (491)
57.2% (684)
Away
42.1% (527)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Staal
P1
44.8%
53.0%
P2
44.6%
58.2%
P3
44.0%
58.9%
OT
23.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |