Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 93.7%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 75.2%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 88.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kuznetsov 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
1
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
56.6% (1,064)
-13.3%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
60.4% (260)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
54.0% (261)
-13.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Home
43.9% (602)
54.9% (801)
Away
43.1% (564)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
P1
43.2%
58.0%
P2
41.5%
56.7%
P3
45.2%
55.4%
OT
55.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |