Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 27 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 48-31 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 84.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 89.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 94.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
48
(79 meetings)
31
48
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
17
11
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
22
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
15
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
56.2% (15,260)
-12.3%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
58.8% (3,445)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
51.4% (2,811)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Home
44.8% (4,622)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
P1
43.6%
55.6%
P2
45.8%
57.0%
P3
42.8%
55.1%
OT
43.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
44.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | OT | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |