Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 58.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 73.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
55.0% (1,084)
-10.6%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
56.8% (303)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
40.3% (149)
-3.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
Home
48.6% (370)
54.8% (759)
Away
41.4% (377)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Kuznetsov
O'Reilly
P1
44.3%
55.3%
P2
49.6%
51.9%
P3
41.4%
54.2%
OT
42.9%
64.7%
Final 5 min
41.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | OT | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |