Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Steel 49.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 50.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 80.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 75.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Kuznetsov
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kuznetsov
Steel
Last 8: Kuznetsov 5-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Kuznetsov
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
49.3% (383)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
59.1% (22)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
14.3% (7)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Steel
Home
43.9% (602)
49.4% (180)
Away
43.1% (564)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Steel
P1
43.2%
51.9%
P2
41.5%
43.8%
P3
45.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |