Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Steel 50.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 56.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 80.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 77.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Kuznetsov
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Kuznetsov
Steel
Last 10: Kuznetsov 7-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
5
Kuznetsov
Steel
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
1
Kuznetsov
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
50.6% (2,876)
-6.7%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
62.6% (179)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
37.4% (254)
+0.8%
On power play, Steel has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Steel
Home
44.8% (4,622)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Steel
P1
43.6%
51.9%
P2
45.8%
49.5%
P3
42.8%
49.6%
OT
43.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Sam Steel |