Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Steel 48.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 55.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 60.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Kuznetsov
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kuznetsov
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
49.5% (553)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
61.3% (31)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
30.6% (49)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Steel
Home
45.9% (534)
46.4% (347)
Away
49.2% (535)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Steel
P1
44.8%
52.1%
P2
52.1%
49.8%
P3
44.5%
45.2%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |