Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Sebastian Aho
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Aho 51.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 65.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 60.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Kuznetsov
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kuznetsov
Aho
Last 8: Kuznetsov 5-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kuznetsov
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
48.5% (778)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
63.4% (191)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
50.8% (65)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Aho
Home
45.9% (534)
51.3% (530)
Away
49.2% (535)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Aho
P1
44.8%
50.0%
P2
52.1%
51.3%
P3
44.5%
52.1%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |